Demographic potential as a resource of strategic develop- ment of regions and municipal institutions
EDN: DFXTWP DOI: 10.22394/2071-2367-2021-16-2-56-77
Keywords:
demographic potential, territorial development resource, strategic planning, demographic indicator, strategic indicator, reflexive analysis, inter-territorial inequalitiesAbstract
The article reveals the specificity of the demographic potential of the territory, considered in the context of both demographic processes and other types of potential: natural resource, spatial, economic, labor, in- vestment.
The purpose is to structure the system of criteria that make it possible to assess the demographic potential of a territory while solving the problem of overcoming inter-territorial inequalities within the framework of strategic planning. The research methodology is a reflexive analysis of a number of strategies for the socio-economic development of municipalities in terms of assessing demographic trends, SWOT analysis of the demographic poten- tial of the territory, targets and measures in the field of demographic policy, as well as relevant strategic indicators. The structure of demographic po- tential, including undiscovered resources, is presented; unused resources (in particular, the resource of the working-age population not employed in the local economy) and “under-formed” resources (for example, the labor resource of young people, determined by educational policy and vocational guidance). As a result, demographic markers of disproportions in the socio- economic and spatial development of regions and municipalities were sub- stantiated, as well as ways of moving from a descriptive analysis of demo- graphic indicators to identifying criteria that characterize the demographic potential of a territory, the use of which can smooth out inter-territorial ine- qualities.
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